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09/03/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Once again it came down to a field goal.
Last year, Villanova kicker Nick Yako was afforded the opportunity to be the hero as he drilled a 32-yard field goal as time expired, giving Villanova a 27-24 win in the inaugural Mayor's Bowl at Lincoln Financial Field.
This year Temple kicker Brandon McManus was afforded that same chance, and like Yako the year before, he delivered in helping the Owls take a 31-24 victory.
This game had more twists and turns than an eight-foot python.
On the second play of the fourth quarter, Villanova quarterback Chris Whitney connected with Norman White for a 21-yard touchdown, giving 'Nova a 21-13 lead.
Following the touchdown, Villanova's offense dipped into a serious lull.
"I think their level went up and I think that we just tailed off some in the second half," said Villanova head coach Andy Talley. "I thought that we played better than they did in the first half and then suddenly they woke up and played a strong second half."
Temple's defense was indeed strong. Villanova went without a score for nearly 13 minutes in the fourth quarter. During that span, McManus hit a 40-yard field goal and quarterback Chester Stewart delivered a 62-yard strike to Michael Campbell, giving Temple a 22-21 lead with 4:07 remaining.
Villanova appeared down, but, as Temple head coach Al Golden knows, the reigning FCS champions are difficult to knock out.
"When you have that many veterans that do nothing but win over the last two or three years, which they have, they are tough to beat," said Golden in a post- game interview.
Villanova had certainly been on a roll, winning its previous nine contests dating back to October 10th, 2009. But with 3:30 to play, and Temple churning the ground and the clock to pulp, 'Nova's streak was in definite jeopardy.
Enter Stewart, who had been turnover-free until coughing up the football with 2:25 to play on his own 25-yard line.
Yako subsequently drilled the 41-yard field goal, giving Villanova a 24-22 lead, and with 1:51 to play it appeared Temple was now the team on the ropes.
Fittingly, in a city known for its beloved, browbeaten, ultimate survivor, Rocky, Stewart and Temple dragged themselves off the mat once more and executed a 46-yard drive which resulted in McManus' game-winning field goal, a 43-yarder that came with three seconds remaining.
"Obviously he won the game for us," Golden said of Stewart. "We had a quarterback that won in the two-minute drill. This time he did it after he made a critical error."
Although this was a tough one for 'Nova, Talley was sure to keep it in perspective.
"I think we played about as hard as we could," Talley said. "We had our chances and we had our opportunities to win the game and it sort of slipped away there at the end. I think we played as well as we could at this point in the season."
Talley makes a valid point. With other teams in The Sportsbook Betting Lines/Fathead.com FCS Top 25 taking on inferior opponents in week 1, Villanova confronted a Temple team that went 9-4 last season and played in its first bowl game in 30 years.
Still, it must be tough, as last year's thrilling Mayor's Cup victory acted as a springboard to a Villanova FCS championship season.
Last year's win over Temple was Villanova's first victory over an FBS opponent in its last six attempts. Previously, 'Nova's last FBS victory had come in 2003, over, guess who, Temple.
Unfortunately for the Wildcats, what last year Temple giveth, this year Temple taketh away.
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
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